Context:
Donald Trump was initially less direct, but now he is openly mentioned by Jérôme Powell. The President wants a decline in interest rates and should do everything possible to achieve it by imposing his will.
Donald Trump will multiply the foot call: wants to drop interest rates
We knew it for many weeks, Donald Trump wants Jérôme Powell to finally reduce interest rates for the United States. However, this decision is still long; Even worse is that it is regularly rejected by the part.
Even yesterday Donald Trump spoke about his social networks by inviting Jérôme Powell, the head of the American Fed. The first named indicating that this was currently an ideal time for the second to lower interest rate.
However, Jérôme Powell hesitated in his speaking, with statements that decided more on preventive measures. In fact, because the Fed would now expect more security and greater clarity than it decides. The Fed chief believes that prices can have an impact on increasing inflation and at the same time has economic consequences.
According to the last speech Jérôme Powell, it seems that it seems more in favor of waiting before the decision. Patience, which was also criticized by Donald Trump, who criticizes Jérôme Powell for being too late.
Decline in June or surprise in May!
While the crypto market has experienced many difficulties as a result of ruling uncertainties in the United States, the drop in interest rates could give the market a second breath. In this sense, probability has evolved, but they are still on the side of a decline that can be expected in June. In May, the current situation could continue, as it suggests the feeling of investors and Betors polymarket.
Indeed, on the polymarket platform, interest rates will only be reduced to only 29 % per month of May compared to 67 % in favor of the current situation. However, the trend is increasing to reduce interest rates with probability that has increased from 10 % to current value. As for June, the reduction is much more likely with 59 % scores that also happened for several days.
Finally, in Cmegroup, probabilities are even higher, with a score of 40.4 % in favor of a decline and 59.6 % in favor of the current situation.
The likelihood that is leaning in favor of a decrease in interest rates also increases fully, as by the end of March 3 and 18.5 % were only 21.9 %.
In CMEGRUP, trust in the decline in interest rates is increasing and it is not necessarily necessary to wait until June for this reduction. However, if no decision was made in this sense, June should be a decision decision. Since the probability of maintaining rates at 425-450 (BPS) is only 2.8 %.
Morality of History: China’s clearing has indeed begun in the United States.
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